Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Murphy Cassone		Francesco Maestrelli

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.42	1.58
	2.29	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.15)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
40.7%

Francesco Maestrelli
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Francesco Maestrelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Maestrelli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maestrelli (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 256. Maestrelli is ranked ATP: 112.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cassone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.9%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Pavel Kotov	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Dan Added - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Martin Krumich - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Sebastian Ofner - Murphy Cassone	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Murphy Cassone - Charles Broom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWLW
- Francesco Maestrelli
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Francesco Maestrelli	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Nicolas Jarry - Francesco Maestrelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ?LLWW

Murphy Cassone - Francesco Maestrelli: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide