Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 April 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Liam Draxl		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.35	Watch
	1.58	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 (1.53)	2.38 (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
61%

Gonzalo Bueno
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Liam Draxl - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Bueno will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Draxl (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Draxl (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 178. Bueno is ranked ATP: 258.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Bueno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draxl will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Houston
30.03.25	Liam Draxl - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
29.03.25	Liam Draxl - Alafia Ayeni	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Liam Draxl - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 L?LLW
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
04.04.25	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Daniel Antonio Nunez - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Emilio Nava - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Liam Draxl - Daniil Ostapenkov	✺
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Carlos Maria Zarate	✺

Liam Draxl - Gonzalo Bueno