Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Liam Draxl		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.56	2.28	Watch
	1.61	2.38
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)	2.33 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
59.8%

Alibek Kachmazov
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 171. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 186.

Draxl is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Kachmazov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Draxl will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Liam Draxl - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Raphael Collignon - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Rei Sakamoto - Liam Draxl	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWW
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
05.03.25	Benjamin Hassan - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Gauthier Onclin - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
18.02.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Patrick Zahraj	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
09.02.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.02.25	Alexander Blockx - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLL

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