Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Liam Draxl		Colton Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.58	Watch
	2.32	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.82)	1.59 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liam Draxl
41.1%

Colton Smith
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Liam Draxl - Colton Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draxl is ranked ATP: 179. Smith is ranked ATP: 202.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Liam Draxl - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liam Draxl
ATP Houston
29.03.25	Liam Draxl - Alafia Ayeni	Canceled ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.03.25	Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
05.03.25	Liam Draxl - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
03.03.25	Liam Draxl - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 ?LLWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Houston
29.03.25	Evan Zhu - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Nuno Borges - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Colton Smith - Alexander Shevchenko	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.25	Alex Michelsen - Colton Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWL

Liam Draxl - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide