Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Marco Cecchinato		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.96	1.79	Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.7	Watch
	1.99	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Cecchinato
46.4%

Jozef Kovalik
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marco Cecchinato's form might have worsened.

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Cecchinato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Cecchinato will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Kovalik will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kovalik: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 3 - 60%). Kovalik (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Cecchinato (3.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kovalik (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 278. Kovalik is ranked ATP: 552.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cecchinato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
10.09.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Marco Cecchinato	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Marco Cecchinato - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Luka Mikrut	Canceled ✺
20.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWL?L
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
12.09.25	Jozef Kovalik - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Michael Vrbensky - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Marvin Moeller - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Bartosz Surudo - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Jan Choinski - Jozef Kovalik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.07.22	Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik	2:1
ATP Roma
14.09.20	Jozef Kovalik - Marco Cecchinato	0:2
ATP Challenger
14.09.19	Jozef Kovalik - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
28.10.17	Jozef Kovalik - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
13.07.17	Jozef Kovalik - Marco Cecchinato	2:0
13.05.17	Jozef Kovalik - Marco Cecchinato	0:2

Marco Cecchinato - Jozef Kovalik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide