Match Info

Date: 11 October 2021, Monday


	Lloyd Harris		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.1	1.38	Watch
	3.05	1.34
	3.35	1.38
	2.9	1.4
	3.38	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.54)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
30.2%

Casper Ruud
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

64.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lloyd Harris's form might have worsened.

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casper Ruud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lloyd Harris, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casper Ruud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Lloyd Harris - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 37 - 52.9%). Ruud will win (votes: 33 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Harris: 41.2% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Harris is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ruud is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ruud to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Harris won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Lloyd Harris - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP San Diego
29.09.21	Lloyd Harris - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
28.09.21	Lloyd Harris - Christopher Eubanks	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.21	Lloyd Harris - Ricardo Rodriguez Pace	Canceled ✺
18.09.21	Lloyd Harris - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLW?W
- Casper Ruud
ATP Indian Wells
09.10.21	Roberto Carballes Baena - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP San Diego
03.10.21	Cameron Norrie - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
02.10.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
01.10.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
30.09.21	Andy Murray - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

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