Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Lloyd Harris		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.40	1.55
	2.43	1.54	Watch
	2.58	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.55
	2.5	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.53)	1.54 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
38.4%

Hubert Hurkacz
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

60%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lloyd Harris will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Harris is ranked ATP: 136., and Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 46..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Hurkacz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Hurkacz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hurkacz in today's match, at odds of 1.46.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Harris has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Valentin Vacherot - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
24.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Lloyd Harris - Kenta Miyoshi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.09.26	Marat Sharipov - Lloyd Harris	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Chengdu
26.09.26	Martin Damm - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
24.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
29.03.22	Lloyd Harris - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2

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