Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Martin Damm		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	3.05	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.95	1.42
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.36)	1.4 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
32%

Hubert Hurkacz
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Martin Damm - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Damm (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Damm (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Damm is ranked ATP: 106., and Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 46..

In recent outings, Damm has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Hurkacz is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Hurkacz is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Hurkacz in today's match, at odds of 1.35.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Damm has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Martin Damm - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Martin Damm - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.26	Martin Damm - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Daniil Medvedev - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Martin Damm - Abedallah Shelbayh	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Chengdu
24.09.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.26	Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz	3:1 ✺
31.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montpellier
03.02.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Martin Damm	0:2

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