Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Ben Shelton		Hubert Hurkacz

	1	2
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.40	2.90
	1.42	2.85
	1.42	3.19
	1.4	2.95	Watch
	1.39	2.95
	1.40	3.00	Watch
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)	2.97 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ben Shelton
67.9%

Hubert Hurkacz
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ben Shelton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ben Shelton than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ben Shelton that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubert Hurkacz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ben Shelton - Hubert Hurkacz Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Shelton (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shelton (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shelton is ranked ATP: 9. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 47.

Shelton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hurkacz is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Shelton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shelton is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ben Shelton
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Ben Shelton - Tallon Griekspoor	3:1 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Learner Tien - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Jakub Mensik - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Hubert Hurkacz
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Damir Dzumhur - Hubert Hurkacz	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Sebastian Baez - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Moez Echargui	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Hubert Hurkacz	0:2 ✺
20.08.26	Henrique Rocha - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

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