Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Lloyd Harris		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.49
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	2.4 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lloyd Harris
60.6%

Mackenzie McDonald
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lloyd Harris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lloyd Harris than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lloyd Harris that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mackenzie McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lloyd Harris - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Harris will win (votes: 3 - 75%). McDonald will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Harris (votes: 1 - 50%). McDonald (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Harris is ranked ATP: 153. McDonald is ranked ATP: 123.

Harris has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

McDonald's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Harris may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lloyd Harris - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lloyd Harris
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Lloyd Harris	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Lloyd Harris - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Ivan Gakhov - Lloyd Harris	Gakhov I. retired ✺
04.03.26	Lloyd Harris - Thomas Faurel	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWL??
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Chun Hsin Tseng - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
01.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLLWL

Lloyd Harris - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide