Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Martin Landaluce		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	2.19	1.6
	2.34	1.64
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.86)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
42.9%

Mackenzie McDonald
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martin Landaluce's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15%	0%	85%

Martin Landaluce - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Mackenzie McDonald will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mackenzie McDonald will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 155. McDonald is ranked ATP: 126.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Landaluce won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Martin Landaluce - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Jack Pinnington Jones	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LWWLW
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
12.03.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Cameron Norrie - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Martin Landaluce	2:1

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