Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bologna, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Lorenzo Berto		Gabriele Bosio

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.4	1.5
	2.48	1.55
	1.7	1.7	Watch
	2.44	1.53
	2.42	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (3.07)	1.54 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Berto
40%

Gabriele Bosio
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Berto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Berto's performance.

Gabriele Bosio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriele Bosio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Berto than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Berto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Bosio than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Bosio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lorenzo Berto - Gabriele Bosio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Berto (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Berto (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Berto (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berto is ranked ATP: 1374. Bosio is ranked ATP: 693.

Berto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bosio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bosio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bosio is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Berto
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Lorenzo Berto - Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Lorenzo Bocchi - Lorenzo Berto	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Lorenzo Berto - Leonardo Taddia	Taddia L. Retired ✺
20.08.26	Daniel Michalski - Lorenzo Berto	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Lorenzo Berto - Jan Wygona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WW?LW
- Gabriele Bosio
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Gabriele Bosio - Blu Baker	2:1 ✺
03.09.26	Gabriele Bosio - Matteo Sabbatini	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Gabriele Bosio - Filippo Mazzola	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Denis Constantin Spiridon	1:2 ✺
13.08.26	Gabriele Bosio - Rares Teodor Pieleanu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLL

Lorenzo Berto - Gabriele Bosio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide