Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 26 April 2023, Wednesday


	Benoit Paire		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.9	1.41
	2.8	1.42
	2.86	1.47
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.79	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.65)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
33.6%

Matteo Arnaldi
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Benoit Paire - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Paire will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Arnaldi will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paire: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paire is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaldi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arnaldi is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Arnaldi to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Kaichi Uchida - Benoit Paire	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Benoit Paire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.23	Pavel Kotov - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
15.04.23	Oriol Roca Batalla - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.23	Benoit Paire - Alexei Popyrin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Madrid
25.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:1 ✺
24.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.23	Daniel Evans - Matteo Arnaldi	2:0 ✺
18.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Matteo Arnaldi - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWW

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