Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lorenzo Giustino		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	3.13	1.38
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.97	1.34	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.62)	1.37 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
31.9%

Otto Virtanen
68.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Otto Virtanen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lorenzo Giustino - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Otto Virtanen will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 211. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 126.

Giustino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giustino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Virtanen is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Giustino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.77%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Filip Misolic - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Lorenzo Giustino	Schwaerzler J. J. walkover ✺
06.01.26	Akira Santillan - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLL?W
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
27.01.26	Zhizhen Zhang - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
12.01.26	Otto Virtanen - Nicolas Mejia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Stefano Napolitano - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
09.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
15.04.23	Otto Virtanen - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2

Lorenzo Giustino - Otto Virtanen