Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday


	Stefano Napolitano		Otto Virtanen

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.45	1.27
	3.62	1.3
	3.02	1.34	Watch
			Watch
	3.41	1.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (3.95)	1.29 ↑ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Napolitano
27.2%

Otto Virtanen
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

76.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Napolitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Stefano Napolitano - Otto Virtanen Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Napolitano will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Virtanen will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4 Games - Virtanen (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Napolitano (votes: 1 - 50%). Virtanen (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Napolitano is ranked ATP: 486. Virtanen is ranked ATP: 126.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Virtanen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Virtanen is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Napolitano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Napolitano
ATP Challenger
05.11.25	Marin Cilic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Stefano Napolitano - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	Ziga Sesko - Stefano Napolitano	2:0 ✺
29.10.25	Gabriele Volpi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Leonardo Rossi - Stefano Napolitano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWW
- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Otto Virtanen	Canceled ✺
09.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Patrick Kypson	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Otto Virtanen - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
06.11.25	Emil Ruusuvuori - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Otto Virtanen - Stefano Napolitano	1:2

Stefano Napolitano - Otto Virtanen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide