Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 April 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Federico Coria

	1	2
			Watch
	2.41	1.5	Watch
	2.23	1.7
	2.77	1.40	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.38)	1.58 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
40.4%

Federico Coria
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Federico Coria Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Rodriguez will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Coria will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 462. Coria is ranked ATP: 750.

Rodriguez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Coria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Coria will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Federico Coria - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.34%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Maximo Zeitune - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLW
- Federico Coria
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Federico Coria - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.25	Federico Coria - Sumit Nagal	Canceled ✺
12.08.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Federico Coria	Canceled ✺
07.08.25	Joel Schwaerzler - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
05.08.25	Marco Cecchinato - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 L??LW

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Federico Coria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide