Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lujan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday


	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez		Gonzalo Villanueva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.66
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.11	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
43.4%

Gonzalo Villanueva
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez's form might have worsened.

Gonzalo Villanueva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gonzalo Villanueva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gonzalo Villanueva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Gonzalo Villanueva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Rodriguez is ranked ATP: 459. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 374.

Recent form of Rodriguez has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villanueva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rodriguez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	1:2 ✺
31.03.26	Maximo Zeitune - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Franco Roncadelli - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Gonzalo Villanueva
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
07.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Santiago De La Fuente	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Hugo Dellien	0:2 ✺
30.03.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLW

Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez - Gonzalo Villanueva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide