Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires (Argentina), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buenos Aires (Argentina) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	01:35	Max Sport 2
Denmark	00:35	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	01:35	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Netherlands	00:35	Ziggo Sport 5
Sweden	00:35	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis


	Lorenzo Musetti		Corentin Moutet

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.31	3.35	Watch
	1.36	3.43
	1.32	3.31	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3.31	Watch
	1.31	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.39)	3.34 ↑ (3.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
71.5%

Corentin Moutet
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Corentin Moutet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lorenzo Musetti - Corentin Moutet Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Moutet will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 16. Moutet is ranked ATP: 66.

Recent matches Musetti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moutet is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Musetti could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Musetti is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
18.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Musetti	3:1 ✺
15.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti	0:3 ✺
14.01.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
02.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW
- Corentin Moutet
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
12.02.25	Corentin Moutet - Jaume Munar	Canceled ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien	0:3 ✺
15.01.25	Corentin Moutet - Mitchell Krueger	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Alexei Popyrin - Corentin Moutet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 W?LWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Vienna
29.10.26	Arthur Fery - Lorenzo Musetti	✺

Lorenzo Musetti - Corentin Moutet