Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 January 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	04:00	Max
Croatia	03:00	Max
Czech Republic	03:00	Max
Denmark	03:00	Max
Finland	04:00	Max
France	03:00	Max
Germany	03:00	Discovery+
Hungary	03:00	Max
Italy	03:00	Discovery+
Norway	03:00	MAX
Poland	03:00	Max
Romania	04:00	Max
Slovenia	03:00	Max
Sweden	03:00	Max
United Kingdom	02:00	Discovery+ UK


	Denis Shapovalov		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.78	2.05	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.88	2.03	Watch
	1.78	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.85)	2.01 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
52.6%

Lorenzo Musetti
47.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	0%	65.4%

Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 56. Musetti is ranked ATP: 15.

Recent matches Shapovalov is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shapovalov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shapovalov won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
ATP Adelaide
07.01.25	Marcos Giron - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
05.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Canceled ✺
05.01.25	Denis Shapovalov - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
31.12.24	Denis Shapovalov - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WL?WL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Lorenzo Musetti	1:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Jaume Munar - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1 ✺
02.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
29.10.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

Denis Shapovalov - Lorenzo Musetti