Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.37
	3.22	1.33
	2.91	1.39	Watch
	3.17	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.77)	1.37 (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
31%

Lorenzo Musetti
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Tsitsipas will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Musetti will win (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Tsitsipas (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tsitsipas (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Tsitsipas (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Musetti (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 24. Musetti is ranked ATP: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 2.

Recent form of Tsitsipas has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Musetti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tsitsipas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Musetti will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tsitsipas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Musetti - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 66.91%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
15.10.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Daniel Altmaier	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 L?LWL
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Brussels
17.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Yannick Hanfmann	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
08.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Francisco Comesana - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	Canceled
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1
ATP Roma
16.05.23	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Barcelona
22.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:3
ATP Lyon
22.05.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2

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