Match Info

Date: 19 March 2021, Friday


	Lorenzo Musetti		Grigor Dimitrov

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.7	1.26
			Watch
	3.5	1.27
	3.86	1.31
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.78	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (2.9)	1.29 ↓ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
26.2%

Grigor Dimitrov
73.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Musetti's form might have worsened.

Grigor Dimitrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grigor Dimitrov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grigor Dimitrov than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Grigor Dimitrov Predictions

Users Predictions: Grigor Dimitrov will win (66 of 77 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.89% – 93.53%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Musetti in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dimitrov is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Musetti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dimitrov is a favorite.

Dimitrov is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Acapulco
17.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
16.03.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
15.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Agustin Velotti	2:0 ✺
13.03.21	Lorenzo Musetti - Juan Alejandro Hernandez Serrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Grigor Dimitrov
ATP Acapulco
17.03.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
17.03.21	Adrian Mannarino - Grigor Dimitrov	Mannarino A. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
15.02.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Aslan Karatsev	1:3 ✺
13.02.21	Dominic Thiem - Grigor Dimitrov	0:3 ✺
11.02.21	Grigor Dimitrov - Pablo Carreno-Busta	Dimitrov G. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?LW?

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