Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Lorenzo Musetti		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.46	2.7
	1.48	2.55
	1.53	2.69
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.53	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)	2.68 ↑ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
64.5%

Mackenzie McDonald
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.3%	0%	29.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 26 - 70.3%). McDonald will win (votes: 11 - 29.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Musetti: 55.6% – 85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

McDonald could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Musetti will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Florence
13.10.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
ATP Sofia
01.10.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Marc-Andrea Huesler	0:2 ✺
30.09.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
28.09.22	Alexandar Lazarov - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
21.09.22	Sebastian Korda - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Florence
13.10.22	Francesco Passaro - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
12.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
04.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Soon Woo Kwon	1:2 ✺
03.10.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Kaichi Uchida	2:1 ✺
ATP Seoul
30.09.22	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWL

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