The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lorenzo Sonego 36.7%
Andy Murray 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.4%
57.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
56.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Sonego's form might have worsened.
Andy Murray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andy Murray's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andy Murray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.8%
0%
87.2%
Lorenzo Sonego - Andy Murray Predictions
Users Predictions:
Andy Murray will win
(34 of 39 users predict this - 87.18%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 97.67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Murray could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Murray will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sonego won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.