Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: WASHINGTON (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 2 August 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	beIN Sports, Eurosport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1


	Brandon Nakashima		Andy Murray

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.18
	1.81	2.12
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.71	2.14	Watch
	1.71	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (2.15)	2.16 ↑ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brandon Nakashima
55.9%

Andy Murray
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brandon Nakashima's performance.

Andy Murray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andy Murray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brandon Nakashima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andy Murray than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andy Murray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.7%	0%	59.3%

Brandon Nakashima - Andy Murray Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Nakashima will win (votes: 11 - 40.7%). Murray will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Murray: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Murray could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nakashima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Atlanta
26.07.23	Christopher Eubanks - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
25.07.23	Brandon Nakashima - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Jordan Thompson - Brandon Nakashima	3:2 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.23	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL
- Andy Murray
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.23	Andy Murray - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:3 ✺
04.07.23	Ryan Peniston - Andy Murray	0:3 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
28.06.23	Andy Murray - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP London
20.06.23	Alex De Minaur - Andy Murray	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.06.23	Andy Murray - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.22	Andy Murray - Brandon Nakashima	2:0

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