Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	Max
Germany	Discovery+(Ger)
Hungary	Max
Italy	Discovery+
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK


	Lorenzo Sonego		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.81	2.01	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.84	2.08	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
52.7%

Fabian Marozsan
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Marozsan will win (votes: 39 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 64.9% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 55. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 59.

Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabian Marozsan	2:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
02.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLWW

Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide