Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	06:15	Max
Croatia	05:15	Max
Czech Republic	05:15	Max
Denmark	05:15	Max
Finland	06:15	Max
France	05:15	Max
Germany	05:15	Discovery+
Hungary	05:15	Max
Italy	05:15	Discovery+
Norway	05:15	MAX
Poland	05:15	Max
Romania	06:15	Max
Serbia	05:15	Max
Slovenia	05:15	Max
Sweden	05:15	Max
United Kingdom	04:15	Discovery+ UK


	Lorenzo Sonego		Fabian Marozsan

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.81	2.01	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.84	2.08	Watch
	1.81	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.68)	2.01 ↓ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
52.7%

Fabian Marozsan
47.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 12 - 23.5%). Marozsan will win (votes: 39 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 64.9% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 55. Marozsan is ranked ATP: 59.

Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marozsan is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sonego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Joao Fonseca - Lorenzo Sonego	2:3 ✺
14.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:1 ✺
ATP Auckland
07.01.25	Alex Michelsen - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
06.01.25	Gabriel Diallo - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
01.01.25	Cameron Norrie - Lorenzo Sonego	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWL
- Fabian Marozsan
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Fabian Marozsan	2:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
03.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Juncheng Shang	1:2 ✺
02.01.25	Andrey Rublev - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
30.12.24	Roman Safiullin - Fabian Marozsan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLWW

Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan Predictions

Preview

Form

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