Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.49	2.81
	1.45	2.71	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.67	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	2.69 ↓ (3.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
64.7%

Luca Van Assche
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Van Assche, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Lorenzo Sonego - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Sonego will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 35. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 164.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sonego is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Marseille
10.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
04.02.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
21.01.25	Ben Shelton - Lorenzo Sonego	3:1 ✺
19.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Learner Tien	3:1 ✺
17.01.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Fabian Marozsan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Clement Chidekh - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Matteo Martineau - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Alibek Kachmazov - Luca Van Assche	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWL?

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