Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday


	Lorenzo Sonego		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
			Watch
	3.8	1.26	Watch
	4.12	1.27
	3.78	1.25	Watch
			Watch
	3.65	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (5.41)	1.27 ↑ (1.13)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
25%

Alexander Zverev
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

82.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Sonego's performance.

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Zverev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Zverev will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Sonego (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 3 - 30%). Zverev (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 44. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zverev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Zverev is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Chengdu
19.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Marcos Giron	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Tristan Schoolkate	2:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
20.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Jaume Munar	1:2 ✺
19.08.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Stefan Dostanic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Laver Cup
21.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:3 ✺
28.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Jacob Fearnley	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Halle
19.06.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2
19.06.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP United Cup
30.12.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Dubai
02.03.23	Alexander Zverev - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ATP Monte Carlo
14.04.21	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2

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