Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 17 June 2025, Tuesday
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Luca Castagnola |
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Lilian Marmousez |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.25 |
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1.28 |
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Watch |
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3.43 |
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1.28 |
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Watch |
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3.4 |
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1.3 |
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3.32 |
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1.29 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.75) |
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1.29 ↓
(1.41) |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castagnola
27.8% | Lilian Marmousez
72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-2.3%) 
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Preview
Castagnola is ranked ATP: 601. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 441.Both players have been playing unpredictably.Marmousez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Marmousez is the team to beat.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castagnola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 11.06.24 | Luca Castagnola - Lilian Marmousez | 1:2 |
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