Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Belgrade, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday


	Tadeas Paroulek		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.4	1.55
	2.39	1.54	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.33	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.83)	1.55 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tadeas Paroulek
39.9%

Lilian Marmousez
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tadeas Paroulek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tadeas Paroulek's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tadeas Paroulek than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tadeas Paroulek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tadeas Paroulek - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paroulek (votes: 2 - 100%).

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Preview

Paroulek is ranked ATP: 565. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 421.

Paroulek is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marmousez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marmousez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Marmousez could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tadeas Paroulek
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Vuk Radjenovic	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Mateus Alves - Tadeas Paroulek	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Matthew Donald	1:2 ✺
30.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Leyton Rivera	2:1 ✺
27.05.25	Tadeas Paroulek - Alan Bojarski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
05.06.25	Marvin Moeller - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Mirza Basic - Lilian Marmousez	Basic M. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
27.05.25	Toby Samuel - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
26.05.25	Lilian Marmousez - Erik Arutiunian	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Lilian Marmousez - David Eichenseher	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 W?LWW

Tadeas Paroulek - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide