Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Lodde R. (Ita)


	Luca Castagnola		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.6	1.44
	2.9	1.37	Watch
	2.83	1.44
	2.75	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.41	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.75)	1.4 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Castagnola
32.9%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Luca Castagnola - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Castagnola will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Rodriguez Taverna will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Castagnola is ranked ATP: 645. Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 280.

Castagnola is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rodriguez Taverna is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rodriguez Taverna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Rodriguez Taverna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castagnola
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Gianmarco Ferrari - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
12.08.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Luca Castagnola	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Ryan Nijboer - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
04.08.24	Luca Castagnola - Gabriele Piraino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWLW
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
31.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Daniel Masur - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
22.07.24	Michael Vrbensky - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWLW

Luca Castagnola - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide