Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - Final

Date: 22 June 2025, Sunday


	Jie Cui		Luca Castelnuovo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3
	1.34	3.16
			Watch
	1.36	3
	1.36	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	3.03 ↓ (3.47)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jie Cui
69.2%

Luca Castelnuovo
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jie Cui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jie Cui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jie Cui - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cui is ranked ATP: 296. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 663.

Cui is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Castelnuovo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cui is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jie Cui
ITF Tournaments
21.06.25	Jie Cui - Shunsuke Mitsui	Mitsui S. retired ✺
19.06.25	Jie Cui - Shintaro Imai	2:0 ✺
18.06.25	Jie Cui - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Jie Cui - Xiaofei Wang	2:0 ✺
11.06.25	Jie Cui - Shunsuke Mitsui	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?WWWL
- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
21.06.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Woobin Shin - Luca Castelnuovo	Shin W. retired ✺
18.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kasidit Samrej	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Linang Xiao - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Arda Azkara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 W?WWL

Jie Cui - Luca Castelnuovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide