Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - Quarter-finalsDate: 23 April 2026, Thursday
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Takuya Kumasaka |
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Takuya Kumasaka
39.9% | Luca Castelnuovo
60.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Takuya Kumasaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Takuya Kumasaka than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Kumasaka is ranked ATP: 533. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 352.Recent form of Kumasaka has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Kumasaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Castelnuovo might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Castelnuovo will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kumasaka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 21.06.25 | Takuya Kumasaka - Luca Castelnuovo | 0:2 |
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