Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2026, Monday


	Luca Castelnuovo		Franco Agamenone

	1	2
			Watch
	4.10	1.20
	4.00	1.23
	4.69	1.22
	4.18	1.2	Watch
	4.33	1.20	Watch
	3.74	1.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.47)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Luca Castelnuovo
22.5%

Franco Agamenone
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

71.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Franco Agamenone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franco Agamenone than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Franco Agamenone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Castelnuovo - Franco Agamenone Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Agamenone will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 356. Agamenone is ranked ATP: 264.

Castelnuovo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Agamenone has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Agamenone is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Franco Agamenone - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 72.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Faris Zakaryia	2:0 ✺
ATP Stuttgart
06.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
25.05.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Semen Pankin	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Luca Castelnuovo - Ognjen Milic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL
- Franco Agamenone
ATP Challenger
15.06.26	Franco Agamenone - Stefano Napolitano	1:2 ✺
10.06.26	Francesco Forti - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
08.06.26	Michele Ribecai - Franco Agamenone	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Franco Agamenone - Radu Albot	0:2 ✺
28.05.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Franco Agamenone	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWLW

Luca Castelnuovo - Franco Agamenone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide