Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Centurion, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 25 May 2026, Monday
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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Semen Pankin |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.95 |
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1.77 |
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2.01 |
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1.83 |
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1.94 |
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1.77 |
Watch |
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1.91 |
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1.8 |
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1.94 |
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1.75 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↓ (2.19) |
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1.78 ↑ (1.59) |
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- The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castelnuovo 47.8% | Semen Pankin 52.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castelnuovo's performance.Semen Pankin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Semen Pankin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Pankin than the current prediction. (+2.9%)Luca Castelnuovo - Semen Pankin Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 344. Pankin is ranked ATP: 518.Castelnuovo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Pankin is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Pankin might have a minor edge in this game. We predict that Pankin will win today's game, with odds of 1.6. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;