Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Jingshan 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Castelnuovo		Khumoun Sultanov

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Luca Castelnuovo
51.7%

Khumoun Sultanov
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Khumoun Sultanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465. Sultanov is ranked ATP: 403.

Castelnuovo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sultanov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sultanov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Castelnuovo
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
19.09.25	Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo	Jasika O. retired ✺
18.09.25	Denis Yevseyev - Luca Castelnuovo	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Yi Lee	2:0 ✺
16.09.25	Luca Castelnuovo - Yuquan Jin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W?WWW
- Khumoun Sultanov
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Kuan-Yi Lee - Khumoun Sultanov	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
14.09.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Tsz Fu Wong - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Moez Echargui	1:2 ✺
21.07.25	Saba Purtseladze - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 ?LWLL

Luca Castelnuovo - Khumoun Sultanov