Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - 1/8-finalsDate: 17 September 2025, Wednesday
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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Kuan-Yi Lee |
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- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Luca Castelnuovo 64% | Kuan-Yi Lee 36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kuan-Yi Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuan-Yi Lee than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan Yi Lee Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465. Lee is ranked ATP: 704.Castelnuovo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Lee's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Castelnuovo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;