Match Info
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - Semi-finalsDate: 19 September 2025, Friday
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Omar Jasika |
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Luca Castelnuovo |
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- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Omar Jasika 50.8% | Luca Castelnuovo 49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
Jasika is ranked ATP: 233. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465.Jasika has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jasika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 09.09.25 | Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika | 2:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;