Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: FRENCH OPEN (FRANCE) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Luca Nardi		Alejandro Tabilo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.48
	2.8	1.41
	2.6	1.43
	2.7	1.49
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.59	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.11)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
35.3%

Alejandro Tabilo
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Tabilo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Tabilo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Luca Nardi - Alejandro Tabilo Predictions

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tabilo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nardi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tabilo will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Tabilo to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Roma
11.05.23	Luca Nardi - David Goffin	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
16.04.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Luca Nardi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Challenger
16.05.23	Maximilian Marterer - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
14.05.23	Benoit Paire - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
13.05.23	Alejandro Tabilo - Nicholas David Ionel	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Kimmer Coppejans - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
12.05.23	Giovanni Fonio - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

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