Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marseille (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Luca Nardi		Daniel Altmaier

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.76	2.03	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.85	1.93	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.76	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.24)	2.01 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
52.8%

Daniel Altmaier
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Daniel Altmaier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Altmaier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	0%	65%

Luca Nardi - Daniel Altmaier Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Altmaier will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mertens is ranked WTA: 31. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 98.

Mertens in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Bucsa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mertens won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
05.02.25	Oleg Prihodko - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Luca Nardi - Ugo Blanchet	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
31.01.25	Luca Nardi - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
30.01.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW
- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Rotterdam
07.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Arthur Fils - Daniel Altmaier	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
01.02.25	Daniel Altmaier - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:0 ✺
ATP Montpellier
27.01.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Nardi	0:2

Luca Nardi - Daniel Altmaier: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide