Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama, hard - Final

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Manama 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Luca Nardi		Kyrian Jacquet

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2	1.73
	1.88	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.85)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
48.1%

Kyrian Jacquet
51.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Kyrian Jacquet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyrian Jacquet than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Jacquet will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Nardi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 108. Jacquet is ranked ATP: 128.

Now, both players are in good form.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

We predict that Jacquet will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Kyrian Jacquet - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Luca Nardi - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Ugo Blanchet - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Luca Nardi - Yibing Wu	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL
- Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Jacob Fearnley	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
27.01.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
17.01.26	Emilio Nava - Kyrian Jacquet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWL

Luca Nardi - Kyrian Jacquet