Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: CINCINNATI (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Max Purcell		Luca Van Assche

	1	2
			Watch
	1.6	2.25
	1.55	2.43
	1.63	2.35
	1.63	2.33
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.31	Watch
	1.59	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.75)	2.35 ↑ (2.06)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Purcell
59.7%

Luca Van Assche
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Max Purcell's performance.

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Van Assche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Purcell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Van Assche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Max Purcell - Luca Van Assche Predictions

Users Predictions: Max Purcell will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Purcell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Purcell will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Purcell
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Max Purcell - Andy Murray	1:2 ✺
08.08.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Max Purcell	0:2 ✺
06.08.23	Max Purcell - Brayden Schnur	2:0 ✺
05.08.23	Max Purcell - Peter Polansky	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
01.08.23	Zachary Svajda - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWL
- Luca Van Assche
ATP Kitzbuhel
31.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
ATP Hamburg
28.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWL

Max Purcell - Luca Van Assche: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide