Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Perugia 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luca Nardi		Oriol Roca Batalla

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.44	2.58	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.4)	2.62 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
64.6%

Oriol Roca Batalla
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Oriol Roca Batalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriol Roca Batalla than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oriol Roca Batalla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Luca Nardi - Oriol Roca Batalla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 163. Batalla is ranked ATP: 377.

In recent matches, Nardi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Batalla is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nardi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
29.05.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Hugo Grenier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLL
- Oriol Roca Batalla
ATP Challenger
01.06.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Pietro Orlando Fellin	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Andrea Colombo	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Alex Marti Pujolras	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
22.05.26	Oriol Roca Batalla - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Luca Nardi - Oriol Roca Batalla