Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Andrea Pellegrino		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.69	2.37
	1.61	2.32	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.67	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Pellegrino
57.9%

Luca Nardi
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Pellegrino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Andrea Pellegrino - Luca Nardi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Andrea Pellegrino will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 155. Nardi is ranked ATP: 151.

Pellegrino has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pellegrino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 45.17%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Luca Nardi - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?LLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.06.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Luca Nardi	2:0

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