Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday


	Luca Nardi		Valentin Royer

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	1.99	1.73
	2.09	1.81
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.25)	1.71 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Nardi
45.4%

Valentin Royer
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Royer will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nardi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nardi is ranked ATP: 140. Royer is ranked ATP: 71.

Nardi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Royer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Royer will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Luca Nardi - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
22.02.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Marco Trungelliti - Luca Nardi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.26	Arthur Bouquier - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 ?LLWL
- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Valentin Royer - Alex Martinez	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Valentin Royer - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.26	Valentin Royer - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.21	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	2:0

Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide