Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Chisinau, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Luca Nardi

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
			Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.24	1.37
	2.79	1.39	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.39)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
31.4%

Luca Nardi
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorenzo Giustino's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 205. Nardi is ranked ATP: 163.

Giustino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nardi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nardi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Nardi - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
25.05.26	Marko Topo - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Sumit Nagal	Giustino L. Retired ✺
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WL??L
- Luca Nardi
ATP Challenger
25.05.26	Hugo Grenier - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Luca Nardi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Luca Nardi	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
02.03.26	Luca Nardi - Trevor Svajda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Luca Nardi	1:2
01.06.21	Luca Nardi - Lorenzo Giustino	Nardi L. retired

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