Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: KITZBUHEL (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Luca Van Assche		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.72	2.12
	1.77	2.06
	1.85	2.04
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.76	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.7)	2.06 ↓ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
53.8%

Alex Molcan
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	0%	36%

Luca Van Assche - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Molcan will win (votes: 9 - 36%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Van Assche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Molcan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Van Assche could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Hamburg
28.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
19.07.23	Luca Van Assche - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
17.07.23	Dragos Nicolae Madaras - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Hamburg
25.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
18.07.23	Alexander Zverev - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.23	Jan Choinski - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Mikael Ymer - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
01.07.23	Alex Molcan - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW

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