Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday


	Luca Van Assche		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.58	2.24	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.55	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.61)	2.27 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luca Van Assche
58.8%

Leandro Riedi
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Riedi will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Van Assche will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van Assche is ranked ATP: 126. Riedi is ranked ATP: 173.

Van Assche has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Riedi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Riedi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Van Assche could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Luca Van Assche - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.67%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luca Van Assche
ATP Challenger
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Zdenek Kolar - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Pavel Kotov - Luca Van Assche	Kotov P. retired ✺
01.02.26	Luca Van Assche - Remy Bertola	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luca Van Assche - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WW
- Leandro Riedi
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Leandro Riedi - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
07.02.26	Leandro Riedi - Moez Echargui	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Leandro Riedi - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Leandro Riedi - Zsombor Piros	Riedi L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LW?W?

Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide