Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Lucia Bronzetti		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.81	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.99	1.84	Watch
	1.96	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Bronzetti
48.7%

Mary Stoiana
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mary Stoiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Lucia Bronzetti - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucia Bronzetti will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lucia Bronzetti will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 106. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 221.

Bronzetti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stoiana is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Stoiana will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucia Bronzetti - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Mary Stoiana - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Australian Open
11.01.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Chloe Paquet	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.11.25	Celine Naef - Lucia Bronzetti	2:1 ✺
20.11.25	Lucia Bronzetti - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Mary Stoiana
WTA Australian Open
11.01.26	Nuria Brancaccio - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mary Stoiana - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Kayla Cross	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Maria Fernanda Navarro - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

Lucia Bronzetti - Mary Stoiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide