Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Nuria Brancaccio		Mary Stoiana

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.37
	3	1.37	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.93	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.4 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuria Brancaccio
32.9%

Mary Stoiana
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuria Brancaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nuria Brancaccio's form might have worsened.

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mary Stoiana's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Nuria Brancaccio - Mary Stoiana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoiana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Stoiana (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mary Stoiana will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoiana (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Brancaccio is ranked WTA: 161. Stoiana is ranked WTA: 223.

Stoiana is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stoiana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stoiana is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stoiana will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mary Stoiana - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuria Brancaccio
ATP Challenger
20.10.25	Lina Gjorcheska - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Kira Pavlova - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Kathinka Von Deichmann - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Yasmine Mansouri - Nuria Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Nuria Brancaccio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- Mary Stoiana
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Himeno Sakatsume - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Mary Stoiana - Alice Rame	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.11.25	Mary Stoiana - Kayla Cross	2:1 ✺
21.11.25	Maria Fernanda Navarro - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
20.11.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWWW

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