Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Reus, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday


	Lucia Cortez Llorca		Maria Aran Teixido Garcia

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.29	1.58
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	2.2	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.88)	1.64 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Cortez Llorca
43.4%

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Cortez Llorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Cortez Llorca's form might have worsened.

Maria Aran Teixido Garcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Aran Teixido Garcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Aran Teixido Garcia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Lucia Cortez Llorca - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Teixido Garcia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 719. Teixido Garcia is ranked WTA: 879.

In recent matches, Cortez Llorca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Teixido Garcia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cortez Llorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Teixido Garcia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Teixido Garcia will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Julia Grabher - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Despina Papamichail - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Ayano Shimizu - Lucia Cortez Llorca	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Melisa Ercan	Ercan M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLW?
- Maria Aran Teixido Garcia
ITF Tournaments
20.09.25	Kate Mansfield - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
19.09.25	Ariadna Garcia-Patron Canals - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
18.09.25	Claudia Ferrer Perez - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
16.09.25	Elena Giovanna Giessler - Maria Aran Teixido Garcia	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Maria Aran Teixido Garcia - Zoziya Kardava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

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